So neither will have much ability to do anything? What about if Flavio were to just do the Trump thing of ignoring everyone who tells him he cant do X because of legality?

I’ll hijack this comment since I dont have a news item to add, and there was a lot of “what if X is an upside to a Bolsonaro govt” that I wanted to respond to but the prev. thread become locked:

The contradictions that led to the pink wave will only accelerate with this recent assault by the USian bourgeois class. The US-condoned development of indigenous capitalist forces in Latam did much to shape the previous leftist movements in the continent towards social democracy and electoralism.

With the imperialist nature of the US of late, straight-up undermining the sovreignty of states it once maintained under the Monroe Doctrine, there’s a narrowing window of autonomy for electoralism and social-liberalism, and the national bourgeois classes of these countries are being subjegated to the USian bourgeosie. In turn , this has reframed the struggle into one that aims to usurp international capital, rather than the more attainable (and thus less necessarily-radical) goal of usurping (or taming) indigenous capital.

That isn’t something I would moralize as “good” or “bad”; being in the imperial core I’m not the one who will be subjected to either president. Many will face worse living conditions under Bolsonaro 2, and Lula’s presidency would bring continued respite for millions with the 6-1 policy repeal alone.

However, the prospect of further US consolidation of neocolonial power in its back yard is something that will help to dismantle it in the coming decades. Communists have opportunities to prepare and adapt to this new reality much more than anything the Worker’s Party can muster. Perhaps the reducing influence of electoral parties is something we should consider as hopeful, if nothing else.

One of those stats where you’re reminded just how many Brazillians live in Japan versus the rest of Asia.

I mean alongside the election in Brazil (and recent consolidations of Venezuela’s status as a protrctorate of the US) it’s a bit of an uh oh for Cuba, right?

The geography (and demography) of Yemen makes for some very interesting maneuvres. Taizz city faces a mountain range to its south, which makes a “circular” encirclement infeasible to attain.

A traditional encirclement would require Ansarallah forces to envelope the city and Jabal Sabr mountain, in doing so capturing tight mountain passes that make for advantageous defensive terrain - even for a demoralized, underequipped, disorganised force such as the PLC.

If anything, you’re forced to swing northwards around the city to avoid the passes entirely. This appears to have been the YAF strategy - the passes themselves are isolated from the Taiiz anyway, so fighting through them becomes unnecessary:

If you want to predict progression of the front, you only need look at the road network. Anything outside of the major roads are effectively impassible beyond light vehicles and footsoldiers.

It’s also important to note that most of Yemens population is situated amongst this mountainous south-western Yemen. This probably could be attributed to cooler climates and fresh water coming from the mountains. Military forces have fewer routes of passage and thus concentrating defenses is easier. Airstrikes become tougher in an environment with variable terrain both for target selection and for avoiding air defenses.

Comparison to the Syrian Civil War

As such, this civil was has played out very differently to Syria (and which I mean the whole war, not just Oct-Dec 2025), where a lightly mechanized force could quickly traverse the country outside of national highways. Daesh, and the SDF-US coalition, exploited this to make rapid advances between population centres.

The Syrian Arab Army’s superior equipment wasn’t much use when it could be surrounded quickly by numerous, highly-motivated guerillas. The rapid expansion of ISIS in the 2010s was largely on-paper, and folded just as quickly once driven out of urban centres like Mosul, Raqqa, Kobanî, etc. where superior air cover and mechanization allowed the SDF to maneuvre itself into similarly-adventageous confrontations.

It meant that battles in Lataika, and Idlib governates were the SAA’s focus - Damascus and the Syrian coast are the best places for the traditionally-equipped army to hold its ground, which is where the state infamously retreated towards the initial stages of the war in 2011.

It’s also why there was little hope of the SAA uniting Syria under Assad once Turkey and the US were involved. The SAA had limited mechanization, relatively small numbers, and low popular support, all of which ensured everything east of the Euphrates was permanently lost. Even with a small holding on the map, primarily Idlib and Afrin governates, HTS was able to overwhelm the SAA** with some thanks to the SAA’s burden of sustaining wide front along multiple axes. Once HTS ran through one defensive line, thousands of hectares had to be abandoned in the retreat, which culminated in a total rout.

The PLC has not suffered the same fate, with the YAF having to maneuvre and fight for most of its ground, and the military situation (while dire) collapsing in a much more controlled manner as defensive lines are defined by terrain rather than available materiel.

* Liberated this morning by YAF units :) ** There’s other material conditions behind the 2025 offensive, but I’d argue that the SAA would have survived more than 11 days if the terrain was to its favour as it is the PLC.

couldn’t have said it better comrade

Yes, ideally the war ends with a clear victor, instead of the failed white peace of 2022. Ansarallah took a deal that suited their condition then, but now they’re not going to follow the same path

Idk if “trump invading a bunch of countries might give the socdems another shot at the election” is the kind of party line we should ve taking

The Fairford base was instrumental, yes. B1s and B-52s would run sorties from England, slithering through the Mediterranean for the most part to avoid a few European bans on USAF flyovers. It’s also a major hub for logistics to West Asian bases (when they still existed, that is…) so a lot of our knowledge of US troop movements come from OSINT aircraft spotters around there.

My coworker complained a bunch about it, as he’s not massively far from the base, and those planes are loud as hell.

The Saudi-backed President did a television address earlier today, and announced “Military operations” to “retake all Houthi-held territories”… which seems like an odd declaration to make when AnsarAllah has been advancing around Aden since July.

Nonetheless, it appears that the Supreme Political Council’s hopes of negotiating a peace to the civil war, rather than launching an offensive on Aden, will be on hold for the foreseeable future. The PLC is going all in on being a Saudi-protectorate, not that the RSAF has done much in the means of protecting anything in Yemen.

Jam the… jamming satellites?

What would the response from China be I wonder? Vietnam was kept at a distance after their border conflict to the point of driving the country westwards, and India has more than a handful of territorial disputes with China to make for some… opportunis m

Nothing more depraved than a USian soldier on leave in Asia.

Lula won in China

Wow, the next president of Brazil and General Secretary of the Communist Party of China.

inb4 the new strategy to deny involvement in proxy wars is to just make sure your soldiers turn away eachother every time an air raid siren goes off

Details emerge regarding the death of the first active British military personnel in Ukraine.

▪️28-year-old Corporal George Hull of the Parachute Regiment died after an explosion during testing of a new Ukrainian defense system. ▪️The explosion occurred away from the front line. Hull’s commander told military investigators that he “heard a sudden loud explosion and saw a flash.” He was standing with his back to the source and did not see the cause of the explosion, but he understood that it occurred where Hull was located. ▪️The British soldier sustained multiple injuries, underwent surgery, and died in a hospital in Kiev ▪️The investigation into the circumstances of his death was partially conducted in closed sessions. ▪️London acknowledges the presence of a small number of British military personnel in Ukraine to support the Ukrainian Armed Forces and protect diplomatic facilities, but the presence of British paratroopers had not been publicly disclosed prior to Hull’s death.

@Slavyangrad

He was standing with his back to the source and did not see the cause of the explosion, but he understood that it occurred where Hull was located.

Yeah he absolutely had no idea what caused the explosion that killed this soldier from a branch that the UK previously denied was present in Ukraine. How convenient!

https://splash247.com/estonia-bans-russian-and-belarusian-grain-transit-through-ports/

Estonia bans Russian and Belarussian grain through its ports.

Lol out argentinian-nationalisting the argentianian nationalist

we have a donald trump of the left, he’s called donald trump and is sinking americna empire whilst doxxing stooges of the regime!

Famously, threatening to escalate violence is a very sure way to set protesters on a path to non violence