A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image depicts the aftermath of a Saudi airstrike on a crowded market in Taiz, Yemen, in which dozens were killed and injured. Since the Saudis reignited the war in July, 270 civilians have been killed and 640 injured in Yemen due to Saudi strikes.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preamble

As we’re all aware, the Republicans losing major ground in the midterms is relatively insignificant in the wider geopolitical sense. While many voters cited their dissatisfaction with the Iran War as a critical motivator for coming out to the polls (not out of any humanitarian impulse, but because, gasp, a foreign war is actually impacting them), the Democrats not only won’t do anything substantially different - they haven’t even pretended to promise to do so. They’ve merely been thrust into a position of power under the assumption that the Blue Team must, by definition, do the opposite of what the Red Team is doing. The situation inside the Zionist entity is relatively similar - Netanyahu and his government is outgoing, but replaced with a government that shares most of the preceding government’s ideology where it most matters. While some Iranian officials (including Araghchi) have attempted to pander to the idea that American voters have ‘voted to stop the war’ and that the US government would be betraying its base by continuing, the view by the current Khamenei seems to be more lucid, and I thankfully don’t get the sense that Iran has lowered its guard by a single iota.

What comes next in the war is now difficult to fathom. Any prediction of an immediate post-midterms strike has obviously not come true, which could be due to a combination of: such threats were always just a bluff; the Trump administration being in turmoil as it self-purges non-believers; and/or a simple lack of readiness (the third aircraft carrier, which may or may not be replacing one of the existing aircraft carriers, is still inbound to the region). Nonetheless, there are still signs that the US is trying once again to shape the battlefield. Over the last few days, there have been several - albeit limited - strikes on Iranian military equipment, particularly on Qeshm Island, as Iran brings down drone after drone and strikes tanker after tanker. They’re also meekly attempting to put the screws on land routes into Iran, but this isn’t really a viable strategy. Trying to outright stop trade between Iraq and Iran will only ignite a firestorm there with the myriad resistance groups. Meanwhile, Pakistan is critically reliant on Iranian fossil fuels and is already in an unstable situation. And finally, Russia has zero motivation to accede to US demands and stop their growing trade with Iran over the Caspian Sea.

To do a lightning round on geopolitical news: Ansarallah recently rejected a Saudi offer of 1 billion dollars to end the war, which is a lowball so insulting that Ansarallah responded by sending drones and missiles into, among other places, the Saudi Aramco HQ (and the widely distributed claim that Ansarallah demanded $51 billion doesn’t seem to be real, as far as I can discern?). Russia has been hammering Ukrainian infrastructure in a few large waves of missiles and drones, exacerbating water and power outages; Russia has also been gradually getting its Starlink competitor, Rassvet, in the sky. China held its Fifth Plenum in late October (for those unaware, there are seven plenums over each National Congress period, and each National Congress lasts five years), and this plenum was notable for having an abnormally high number of absences (~25%) - which, from what I can gather, is mostly due to purges, though it’s always hard to sift through the layers of propaganda - as Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption drive continues. Over the last few months, Algeria and the Alliance of Sahel States have buried the hatchet on their former misgivings and are now significantly cooperating in both the economic sphere (with new oil infrastructure being constructed in Niger) as well as militarily. Paraguay’s right-wing president, Santiago Peña, has been ousted due to the collapse of Ueno Bank - which about 2/3 of the population used - and into which his government funneled hundreds of millions of dollars. And France held a general strike involving 1.6 million people on November 5th, as anger against Macron’s feckless political, social, and economic governance continues to build. I’ll stop here or I’ll never get this megathread out.


Last week’s thread is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • oliveoil [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    Hedge fund managers about to receive a neon-fell-for-it-evangelion

    https://t.me/Ghavamchannel/15242

    دلیل کاهش قیمت نفت: خوش‌بینی به مذاکره و فروش ۹۳ میلیون بشکه نفت کاغذی

    با افزایش احتمال مذاکره میان ایران و آمریکا به‌جای ازسرگیری جنگ، انتظارات نزولی سرمایه‌گذاران در بازار نفت تقویت شده.

    صندوق‌های پوشش ریسک و مدیران سرمایه‌گذاری در هفته گذشته، معادل ۹۳ میلیون بشکه از قراردادهای آتی و اختیار معامله نفت را فروختند.

    The reason for the decline in oil prices: Optimism to negotiate and sell 93 million barrels of paper oil With the increasing likelihood of negotiations between Iran and the United States rather than the resumption of war, investors’ bearish expectations in the oil market have strengthened. Hedge funds and investment managers sold the equivalent of 93 million barrels of oil futures and options last week.

  • companero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    https://t.me/mod_russia_en/30528

    Russia claims to have shot down 4 US-made “Rusty Dagger” cruise missiles. I believe this is the first time they have been used. They have about half the range of Tomahawks on paper, and much smaller warheads, but I would still classify them as long-range missiles.

    This is during trilateral negotiations, the “diesel deal,” and Ukraine’s resumption of long-range strikes on Russian refineries. Can’t wait for Putin to do jack shit in response jokerfied

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    Claude, send out an email to the investors about our IPO. Make no mistakes.

    Nov 9 (Reuters) - Anthropic ​sent out and then ‌retracted details of its blockbuster IPO filing, according ​to emails to ​bankers seen by Reuters late ⁠on Monday. The artificial ​intelligence company first sent ​a copy of a filing that showed Anthropic aimed to ​sell about 867 ​million shares in a price ‌range ⁠of $70 to $80 per share, then followed up with an email saying ​details about ​the ⁠pricing were inaccurate. Anthropic in ​the second email said ​it ⁠would update the filing later.

    This document was supposed to be audited and checked & approved by the SEC, by the way. I guess they all use Claude.

    • All of the Anthropic “Our AI is so good it’s dangerous” marketing falls apart when they clearly don’t consider it dangerous enough to proof-read outputs that are legally & financially sensitive.

      I consider a pair of scissors to be a hazardous tool if used by a toddler - I wouldn’t leave the toddler alone with the scissors and smooth things over with an email when someone asks why my toddler is now missing 3 fingers and an eye.

    • DoofusAscendant [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      You could start a company whose only product was free school lunches and it would be more profitable than Anthropic (they lose more in a quarter than the school lunch program costs for a year), and somehow I think you’d get laughed out of the room for expecting a $60 B market cap.

      • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        you start buying pizza futures three years in advance, then you get dominos buying your shares at 100x evaluation for promises in staggered pizza deliveries to schools, then you start offloading bought pizza futures for cash, the rest of economy panic builds pizza stoves in every backyard to satisfy infinitely hungry school kids, the steel and coal demand goes through the roof, the wsj prints “is charcoal the new gold?”, all cherry trees are burnt for charcoal inside continental usa, then you ipo your company

        you have fed 10 schools of kids at your peak productive hours

  • Aradina [They/Them]@lemmy.ml
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    Todd Russell, Beaconsfield mine disaster survivor, dies aged 54 after illness

    Beaconsfield mine collapse survivor Todd Russell has died at the age of 54 after an undisclosed illness, his family has confirmed.

    Tasmanian Premier Jeremy Rockliff posted this morning: “Vale Todd Russell. Thoughts this morning are with Todd’s loved ones and everyone who had the absolute pleasure of knowing him.”

    Last week, Russell posted to social media that, after eight and a half months in hospital, he was returning home to see out his final days surrounded by family. His family has not disclosed his illness.

  • ourtimewillcome [any]@hexbear.net
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    ️Severe winter flooding displaces 100,000 Palestinians as Israeli siege intentionally blocks repair materials

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    Severe winter flooding across the war-ravaged Gaza Strip has forcibly displaced roughly 100,000 Palestinians, creating “abhorrent” humanitarian conditions as Israeli forces continue to block essential shelter and infrastructure repair materials, humanitarian organization Oxfam reports.

    Speaking to Al Jazeera, Oxfam’s Gaza representative Wassem Mushtaha warned that Israeli occupation forces have designated 65 percent of the enclave as off-limits military zones, trapping hundreds of thousands of displaced families in unequipped, flood-prone areas with nowhere safe to turn.

    “Severe flooding has displaced around 100,000 people in Gaza,” Mushtaha stated. “Israel is restricting access to shelter materials and has rendered 65 percent of Gaza off-limits. People have no safe place to go.”

    While Oxfam field teams have initiated emergency clearing of rainwater drainage networks and distributed sandbags and basic tools, relief workers emphasize that preventing further winter casualties requires the immediate entry of spare parts, engine oil, water pipes, heavy machinery, and winterized tents.

    Humanitarian observers stress that the ongoing genocide has systematically destroyed basic municipal infrastructure while enforcing a total blockade on reconstruction equipment, leaving civilian populations deliberately exposed to severe winter weather and secondary environmental collapse.

  • ourtimewillcome [any]@hexbear.net
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    ️US airstrikes damage 23 Iranian pharmaceutical and distribution firms in recent raids

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    Recent US air strikes against Iran, executed during overnight bombardments over the past several days, damaged 23 pharmaceutical facilities, disrupting domestic medicine production and threatening essential healthcare supply chains, according to Iran’s Food and Drug Administration.

    In a statement carried by Tasnim, a spokesperson for the regulatory agency confirmed that the latest wave of US aerial strikes targeted 15 drug-manufacturing complexes and eight major medical distribution companies.

    The official warned that the recent destruction of industrial infrastructure has created immediate procurement bottlenecks for 37 essential medicines out of roughly 700 vital pharmaceutical products mandated for national healthcare delivery.

    Health authorities highlighted that ongoing strikes against specialized facilities threaten to sever supply chains for critical raw materials required in domestic drug synthesis.

    Washington’s campaign against Iranian industrial assets increasingly targets civilian supply lines and medical infrastructure, exacerbating public health risks across the country under the guise of military operations.

  • ourtimewillcome [any]@hexbear.net
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    ️Sand embankment in Gaza collapses and crushes displacement tents, killing five Palestinians, including children

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    Five Palestinians, including three children and two women, were killed in central Gaza after heavy winter downpours triggered the collapse of a sand cliff onto makeshift displacement tents.

    The structural collapse occurred in Deir al-Balah, where hundreds of displaced families have been forced to settle in unstable coastal dunes lacking basic infrastructure due to the ongoing Israeli blockade.

    According to medical sources quoted by WAFA and reports by Gaza’s Civil Defense, the collapse buried multiple families under heavy sand and debris, leaving several others injured and requiring ongoing extraction efforts by rescue teams and local residents.

    The tragedy compounds an accelerating humanitarian crisis across the Gaza Strip as a severe winter storm inundates makeshift camps with floodwaters.

    Statement by Hamas

    The Israeli occupation bears full responsibility for the catastrophe caused by the collapse of a sand embankment onto displaced Palestinians’ tents in Deir al-Balah, which resulted in deaths and injuries.

    The policies of siege and preventing the entry of aid, tents, and reconstruction materials have exacerbated the humanitarian tragedy and caused repeated disasters affecting civilians.

    Confining more than two million Palestinians to less than one-third of the Gaza Strip’s area threatens further humanitarian disasters and requires urgent international intervention to stop the aggression and lift the siege.

  • ourtimewillcome [any]@hexbear.net
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    ️Israeli authorities issue tenders for over 700 settlement units near occupied Bethlehem

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    Israeli authorities published land tenders on Sunday to construct 732 new housing units in the illegal Gvaot settlement west of Bethlehem in the southern occupied West Bank.

    According to official data released today by the Colonization & Wall Resistance Commission, the tenders represent the initial phase of a broader expansion plan targeting the Bethlehem governorate. Published via official records of the Israel Land Authority, the project includes multi-story residential blocks, commercial complexes, and public facilities.

    The commission confirmed that bidding for the contracts is scheduled to open on 1 December, with a submission deadline set for 28 December. A secondary tender was simultaneously issued for adjacent land designated for employment facilities and commercial services, signaling an aggressive push to integrate economic hubs into the settlement structure.The latest move advances a relentless campaign of territorial expropriation across the region.

    Commission records reveal that between early 2026 and 8 November, Israeli authorities issued at least 28 land tenders across the occupied West Bank, including East Jerusalem. Eighteen of those tenders cover 7,815 residential units, while ten others target non-residential infrastructure.

    Over 770,000 Israeli occupiers currently reside across hundreds of illegal settlements and outposts throughout the West Bank, including 250,000 in occupied East Jerusalem.

    UN Security Council Resolution 2334 affirms that all Israeli settlement activities established in Palestinian territories occupied since 1967 carry no legal validity and constitute flagrant violations of international law.

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    I had an excellent conversation with Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani, the Prime Minister of Qatar, wherein much was discussed with respect to the Islamic Republic of Iran. Most importantly, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and others, would prefer the status quo, in other words, a continuation of the Greatest Naval Blockade in History, and the new Operation Iron Gate — Therefore, Land and Sea. All have agreed that Iran cannot have a Nuclear Weapon — That is non-negotiable! Should there be any change with respect to developments in the Middle East, the United States of America is “locked and loaded” and ready to go. At this point, however, that seems to be quite unlikely. Israel, and the entire Middle East, are protected from Iranian danger and threats. We are seeing positive momentum toward an end to this Conflict, and will ensure that America’s interests are at all times protected. At the conclusion of this Military Engagement, the American People, and the World, will be far safer and more secure. President DONALD J. TRUMP


    CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton briefed the Gang of Eight on highly classified plans on Iran today.

    The Gang of Eight is briefed only in extraordinary circumstances, with the last such briefing on February 24, four days before the war began. “The briefing was primarily about Iran,” Jeffries says.

    The Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier strike group is expected to arrive in the ME in 4-5 days.


    [edit] the huge fake news campaign designed to push down the price of oil leads me to believe they are building a cushion before the hot war resumes.

    • darkcalling [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.net
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      Iran’s problem is that Hormuz is an economic nuke. But nukes only work to the extent you can keep on lobbing them. That is nuking a single city won’t bring any country above city-state size to its knees, it’ll just make it angry if it knows you have no more of them. So too does their partial closure of Hormuz just anger the west but fails to bring it to its knees. Iran looks to the west like a one-trick pony whose one trick has failed to bring them to their knees.

      Their hopes for winning over the GCC vassals were born of liberal analysis and folly. These countries are creations of western imperialism. They were born and breathe and live to serve it. Their governments are compradors whose wealth, power, ability to exploit and live lavishly are solely at the whims of the west who help them keep their own people in check and would never have wanted much less been able to negotiate a better status with Iran over the objections of the west.

      Iran is in a trap. The west may have made a mistake in attacking Iran and be in a trap of their own but I don’t see a way for Iran to get to win conditions that get anything looking like their current demands. They can’t go off fully on the zionist entity because it would nuke them so they’re constrained by that. They continue to believe they can win over the gulf states so they can’t go off on them. Even if they accept they can’t win over the gulf states they refuse to go off on them because the US would target Iranian vital industries in return. So their range of action seems very limited to just shooting at boats. Any escalation is decided purely by the US which gives them a real advantage in the conflict as the Iranians only up the ante in response to these US escalations so the US can choose the tempo of things a bit with the Iranians showing a willingness to back off after the US does the same.

      Frankly I’m still not ready to discard the idea that the US wants oil flows in that region stopped but cannot be seen doing so itself so planners of empire could actually be happy with what’s going on and US seen as the sole one able to save the world’s energy prices.

      As to what will happen now. US will not give in to Iran’s terms. Not for the level of economic pain we’re feeling now and not for twice as high gas prices as currently. It’s just impossible for them to concede on many of Iran’s demands due to both ideology and material imperatives of empire.

      Doubtless Trump in particular and west broadly are looking for a way out that isn’t a defeat and concession. They’ll try something. Could be nukes, could be a raid on one of the nuclear sites or missile cities by special forces backed by airborne backed by air assets to get a win and then plan to just ignore Iran while keeping the economic pressure up on them. It could be trying to take out power, water, internet, etc to plunge the population into darkness, misery and they hope perhaps pressuring the government enough to water down its demands to a point the US can accept them and declare a win. It could even be a full on invasion that starts small and builds. The US would gladly sacrifice thousands of US soldiers to secure the last piece of the puzzle for control over the Middle East. A term-limited controversial president like Trump would be the perfect one to start such an invasion given it can’t really hurt him and he’s old enough that even if Iran were to seriously attempt to kill him after leaving office there’s a good chance the McDonalds gets there first. The Democratic president that follows Trump into office will be obliged to continue the war while saying it was a mistake but doubling down just the same to not look like a loser. The only real problem there is having enough of the right kinds of weapons (they do have plenty of small arms, artillery, gravity bombs, etc). The region would burn outside of the zionist entity but the US may not care if they want to push market forces to develop oil in friendlier places like Venezuela, off the coast of Palestine, African states that can be subjugated via neo-colonialism, etc. Of course staging the troops for such an invasion is the real problem but perhaps they try to do landings on the coast and paratrooper drops with that start small strategy I mentioned.

      Anything seems possible right now. Anything but the US giving into Iran’s demands.

      • somename [she/her]@hexbear.net
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        I feel like you’re overestimating the ability of the West to hold out against Iran’s strait closure. Just because they’ve maintained well enough so far, doesn’t mean this is sustainable. The closure isn’t just stopping oil, but also things like urea, which is critical for fertilizer. The longer this goes, the slimmer stockpiles get, and the more desperate the US will be.

        That’s why we see them slowly pushing towards confrontation again. The US has no real way to crack Iran’s defenses, and the failure will look terrible politically, but they feel they need to end this. For both the economic aspect and the diplomatic one, for as long as Iran persists, the narrative of American hegemony is diminished.

        • someone [comrade/them, they/them]@hexbear.net
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          The closure isn’t just stopping oil, but also things like urea, which is critical for fertilizer.

          Another underreported shortage due to the closure is helium, important for semiconductor manufacturing.

      • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        their win condition is exploding world economy so much that vassals don’t have time for usa shit because they are queling domestic uprisings, the leverage is not gcc, its europe and asia. which is why their good will gestures of letting oil through for a pittance are rather flawed.

        yes usa won’t concede out of gas prices by itself, they can always implement bans on export, europe would though. but, of course, fumbling your “destroy the enemy economy” weapon for 2 bucks (see russia) is seemingly our current reality of hegemonic dollar and capitalism.

      • jack [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        It’s a mutual siege and the only way it breaks is surrender (unlikely) or revolutionary upheaval. That revolution is unlikely to be in either of the two main belligerents. But a revolution in any Arab state would set off the right shockwave, and Iran missed their best window to press for it early in the war. So now Iran can wait for Yemeni victory to dramatically weaken the Demonic House of Saud, which might do the trick, or use an escalation of war to create the conditions for a joint Palestinian+Lebanese victory on the ground to avoid the nukes. Global conditions elsewhere could shift dramatically and force a US surrender: revolutions in South America (coming imo), revolution in Europe (unlikely, but the Devil’s Subcontinent is in upheaval), or in the US itself (I think only possible after other revolutions elsewhere).

    • sisatici [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      18 hours ago

      czech republic is very friendly to pissfake. it is funny that israhell does this to their allies most. they spit in the face of british on falklands issue (I do not approve british claim on falklands, but israhell owes its existance to british and britain still continue to serve israhell to this day. you should have expected more loyalty from them). fucking humiliation ritual. racist nationalists were talking about how we should be 100% slave to israhell they are very royal

      I am not saying they ordered a hit but they are not gonna prosecute the guilty because he killed an inferior race.

      • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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        I think it’s a hit. I can’t explain the motive but it looks very much like a hit. Sitting there waiting patiently for the target and then driving them down is extremely sus.