Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran’s nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran’s government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.
A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?
And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?
Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
>Glastonbury condemns Bob Vylan “death to the IDF” statement as “antisemitic”
>daily heil front page condemns “death to israelis” chant
>avon and somerset police (local to Glastonbury) have begun “investigating” footage of the chants
and so the ratfucking begins. Protect them at all fucking costs.
Yesterday, Iran refused entry to IAEA inspectors at several nuclear sites, and is planning to expel all inspectors from the country – Politico
“Newspaper”
Isn’t this straight up defamation? They even put it in quotes
Mike Lee dropped the massive federal land sell off from the bill because he “was unable to secure clear, enforceable safeguards to guarantee that these lands would be sold only to American families—not to China, not to BlackRock, and not to any foreign interests”.
At least that major ecological disaster has been avoided.
For now.
we had no choice but to fall back in love with land mines.It looks like someone in Idaho started a wildfire to ambush and shoot at firefighters as a sniper.
Why would anyone want to snipe firefighters responsible for putting out wildfires? Very disturbing.
The left in chile is having their primary election to choose who would be the coalitions candidate for presidency, it looks like the candidate of the communist party is in the lead but still the vote are still being counted
Looks like she won
has figured out a way to slap 500% tariffs on the world while having the libs on board
The DPRK undergoes testing for their new AEW&C aircraft, based on a modified Il-76 model. It appears that it will be online shortly. It has been under development for around 2 years.
Damn Jara might actually win the primary this is massive for chilean communists
Confirmed victory of the left in Chile’s primary elections - Prensa Latina
Article
Santiago de Chile, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) With almost all the votes counted, the victory of the left wing in the primary elections of the bloc of government parties, grouped in the Unity for Chile coalition, was confirmed today.
The last report of the Electoral Service (Servel), corresponding to 99.37 percent of the polling stations, ratifies the victory of the candidate for the Communist Party of Chile, Jeannette Jara, with 60.20 percentage points.
The candidate of the Party for Democracy, Carolina Tohá, who had the support of the Socialists, Liberals, Radicals and Christian Democrats, finished in second place with 28.03 percent.
Thus, the predictions that the event would be defined between two women, Jara, former Minister of Labor, and Tohá, former Minister of the Interior, were confirmed.
Gonzalo Winter, proposed by the Frente Amplio, the party to which President Gabriel Boric belongs, was third with 9.02, and the last place went to Jaime Mulet, of the Federación Regionalista Verde Social, who reached 2.75 percent.
The Servel informed that one million 413 thousand 285 citizens participated in the elections, who cast one million 365 thousand 731 valid votes, 33 thousand 659 invalid votes and 13 thousand 804 blank votes.
The total number is below the thresholds considered adequate for a vote of this nature, which ranged between 1.5 and two million. A total of 15.4 million citizens were eligible to participate.
Among the reasons for the low turnout were the harsh weather this Sunday, which in several central and southern regions of the country was below zero degrees, and the voluntary nature of the vote.
The president of the Servel, Pamela Figueroa, told Prensa Latina that as the day progressed, the number of people going to the polls increased after a morning with a low turnout.
The official assured that the day passed with total normality in the country.
Everything is now ready for the November 16 presidential elections and an eventual second round, scheduled for December 14, where Jeannette Jara, at the head of the Unity for Chile alliance, will face right-wing and extreme right-wing parties.
NEWS — Senate R’s refusing Dem request for a bipartisan meeting with the parliamentarian on using current policy baseline to pay for tax cuts.
As far as I understand this, Republicans don’t even want to have a vote to disregard the Senate Parliamentarian (as the Senate rules allow), but want to just pretend the Senate Parliamentarian doesn’t exist. If this doesn’t work, they will go with the vote thing anyway, or just fire the Parliamentarian. But in any case, pretending the Parliamentarian doesn’t exist is the only correct thing to do. Maybe some day, a politician will do the same thing but in order to pass good legislation.
A big reason why the Dems are focusing more on the NY mayoral race than on Trump’s Big B Bill - both versions of the BBB (House & Senate) include a big SALT deduction increase, something that Dems always want, since it benefits mostly rich Dem donors in blue states.
Did the Israelis start letting settlers leave the country again yet, lol?
NSFW/L death
