Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran’s nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran’s government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.
A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?
And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?
Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
>Glastonbury condemns Bob Vylan “death to the IDF” statement as “antisemitic”
>daily heil front page condemns “death to israelis” chant
>avon and somerset police (local to Glastonbury) have begun “investigating” footage of the chants
and so the ratfucking begins. Protect them at all fucking costs.
Yesterday, Iran refused entry to IAEA inspectors at several nuclear sites, and is planning to expel all inspectors from the country – Politico
“Newspaper”
Isn’t this straight up defamation? They even put it in quotes
Mike Lee dropped the massive federal land sell off from the bill because he “was unable to secure clear, enforceable safeguards to guarantee that these lands would be sold only to American families—not to China, not to BlackRock, and not to any foreign interests”.
At least that major ecological disaster has been avoided.
For now.
It looks like someone in Idaho started a wildfire to ambush and shoot at firefighters as a sniper.
Why would anyone want to snipe firefighters responsible for putting out wildfires? Very disturbing.
The left in chile is having their primary election to choose who would be the coalitions candidate for presidency, it looks like the candidate of the communist party is in the lead but still the vote are still being counted
Looks like she won
Confirmed victory of the left in Chile’s primary elections - Prensa Latina
Article
Santiago de Chile, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) With almost all the votes counted, the victory of the left wing in the primary elections of the bloc of government parties, grouped in the Unity for Chile coalition, was confirmed today.
The last report of the Electoral Service (Servel), corresponding to 99.37 percent of the polling stations, ratifies the victory of the candidate for the Communist Party of Chile, Jeannette Jara, with 60.20 percentage points.
The candidate of the Party for Democracy, Carolina Tohá, who had the support of the Socialists, Liberals, Radicals and Christian Democrats, finished in second place with 28.03 percent.
Thus, the predictions that the event would be defined between two women, Jara, former Minister of Labor, and Tohá, former Minister of the Interior, were confirmed.
Gonzalo Winter, proposed by the Frente Amplio, the party to which President Gabriel Boric belongs, was third with 9.02, and the last place went to Jaime Mulet, of the Federación Regionalista Verde Social, who reached 2.75 percent.
The Servel informed that one million 413 thousand 285 citizens participated in the elections, who cast one million 365 thousand 731 valid votes, 33 thousand 659 invalid votes and 13 thousand 804 blank votes.
The total number is below the thresholds considered adequate for a vote of this nature, which ranged between 1.5 and two million. A total of 15.4 million citizens were eligible to participate.
Among the reasons for the low turnout were the harsh weather this Sunday, which in several central and southern regions of the country was below zero degrees, and the voluntary nature of the vote.
The president of the Servel, Pamela Figueroa, told Prensa Latina that as the day progressed, the number of people going to the polls increased after a morning with a low turnout.
The official assured that the day passed with total normality in the country.
Everything is now ready for the November 16 presidential elections and an eventual second round, scheduled for December 14, where Jeannette Jara, at the head of the Unity for Chile alliance, will face right-wing and extreme right-wing parties.
Did the Israelis start letting settlers leave the country again yet, lol?
Yesterday, rural Idaho firefighters were responding to a bushfire when they were shot.
Two fire fighters dead, third wounded but stabilized after being sniped at by unknown shooter in Idaho
Suspect Idaho sniper dead, unknown cause, sherif department grabbed body and evidence as they were at risk from the fire.
It is likely the unknown shooter set the fire as bait to lure in firefighters with the intent to murder them.
Local speculation guesses shooter had ties to neo-nazis, though no information about the shooter has been released yet, due to the fact that exatly 24 years ago to the date, on June 29, 2001, firefighters participated in a training exercise in which they burned down a former security house at the Aryan Nations compound near Hayden Lake, Idaho. The house was located just a few miles from the site of Sunday’s ambush.
the newsmega can have a little ‘is zohran mao or obama’ struggle session as a treat (such as in this subthread) but this is the world newsmega, not the electoralism-mega and so please limit zohran posting to a dull roar. things like zohran struggle sessions are literally exactly what c/electoralism was made for, not the news mega.
along the same lines, zionists and fascists are having a shitfit about zohran and yes it is funny, but let’s try to keep the newsmega to only the dankest of memes and the saltiest of zionist tears. we don’t need to hear about every DC think tankie pondering the orb with bill ackman.
Zohran Mamdani fucking won. I have so much to say and yet no words at all after busting my ass for months on this campaign. The vibes at this victory party are unfathomable. There is so much hate and pain in this world, but in this room, for the first time in a long time, I can feel a better future at our fingertips.
From the Cradle, Harvard study finds Israel ‘disappeared’ nearly 400,000 Palestinians in Gaza, half of them children: Report
A new report published by the Harvard database reveals that Israel has “disappeared” at least 377,000 Palestinians since the start of its genocidal campaign against the Gaza Strip in 2023.
Half of this number is believed to be Palestinian children.
The report was written by Israeli professor Yaakov Garb, who used data-driven analysis and spatial mapping to show how the Israeli army’s siege of Gaza and indiscriminate attacks on civilians in the enclave have led to a serious drop in its population.
The 377,000 Palestinians who are unaccounted for due to Israel’s genocide are approximately 17 percent of the Gaza Strip’s entire population, which now stands at about 1.85 million. Prior to the war in Gaza, the strip’s population was estimated at 2.227 million.
Christ
https://xcancel.com/yanisvaroufakis/status/1938607536887779553
@yanisvaroufakis
It seems that our rulers, here in the ‘liberal’ West, have homed in on a new way of turning a person into a non-person. Here is a man, Hüseyin Doğru, a German journalist (of Turkish origins, but not a dual citizen) whom the EU authorities have found a novel, immensely cruel, way of punishing for his coverage of, and views on, Palestine.
The German authorities learned a lesson from my case. Not wishing to be answerable in court for any ban on pro-Palestinian voices (similar to the court case I am dragging them through currently), they found another way: A direct sanction by the EU utilising some hitherto unused directive, one introduced at the beginning of the Ukraine war, that allows Brussels to sanction any citizen of the EU it deems to be working for Russian interests. Clinging to the argument that Hüseyin’s website/podcast used to be shown also on Ruptly (among other platforms), they are using this directive aimed at an ‘anti-Russian asset’ to destroy a journalist who dared oppose the Palestinian genocide.
In practice, this means that Hüseyin’s bank account is frozen; that if you or I were to give him cash to buy groceries or make rent then we would be considered his accomplices and subject to similar sanctions; it also means that if he were a civil servant, he would be fired; if he were a student he would be expelled from his university; if he received a pension it would be suspended; if he received any social benefit it would be frozen. It also, astonishingly, means that he cannot leave Germany! Last, but definitely not least, it means that Hüseyin cannot sue his government for turning him into a non-person but only challenge the European Commission in Brussels – where he is not even allowed to go!
Need I say more? Is it not abundantly clear that we live, today, in a nominally liberal Europe where, in a jiffy, your political and human rights can be rescinded, including your right to challenge your government in a court of law?
normal Western democracy hours
resistance ambush in gaza reportedly blew up a troop carrier and ambushed the rescue force, reported 5-8 dead 15 wounded IOF
Iran parliament votes to suspend cooperation with International Atomic Energy Agency
-Telegram, PressTV
