Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.
Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.
Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).
Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.
I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran’s leadership must - if they haven’t already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
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The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Video of an early release submunition (ERS) from an Iranian ballistic missile tumbling through the skies in Israel.
This the problem with releasing submunitions at such high relative altitudes (7-8km according to current reports), not only is the spread radius multiple kilometres for only 15-30 submunitions, the aerodynamics is a huge issue. They simply aren’t heavy enough and lack the inertia, definitely slow enough to be hit by Iron Dome.
John “I used to live in Russia so I know a lot about Russia” Helmer came in with the hot sauce yesterday lol:
CW: an inappropriate word insinuating SA censored
“So what you see is obvious,” says a well-informed Moscow source. “This is not a Sino-Russian alignment but a US-Russian alignment with the Chinese claiming to join the troika. The message to Trump is very clear — we [Putin] want to make deal; we want sanctions lifted; we want our airline flights and Boeings back; we are ready for compromises. Look what we have done! We have been good boys, haven’t we, in Syria? We have made no new troubles in Libya. We have not made trouble in Venezuela. We are only focused on fighting in our front yard. We accept that you [Trump] are the hegemon. We’ll complain about it, but we won’t fight to make you weaker. Your strength, dear Uncle Sam, is our economic survival. It’s fine that you r**e a few small boys every once in a while, but we are still being good boys, aren’t we? This is the reality. And the main media are saying this now — Beijing has abandoned Teheran. Moscow has abandoned Teheran. I add that Teheran has abandoned Iran with too little and too late, so what’s left to fight? For us, it’s Ukraine.”
lmao. I usually take Helmer with a grain of salt but if this is true I wouldn’t be surprised at all.
I don’t think Israel have the air superiority they pretend they have. I think Israeli impacts on Iran are mostly missiles. Their attempts to fly drones and jets in Iranian airspace is resulting in things being downed whereas the Iranian AD can’t deal with missiles. Some drones are sneaking through too but that’s just always going to be the case.
One thing that irks me is that when we’ve seen air superiority achieved in the past it’s produced videos of lingering presence of jets. Iranian civilians aren’t taking any videos showing the presence of jets at all as far as I can tell. They’re loud as shit, you know when one is in your area. So if they have air superiority? Where’s the evidence of this?
The obvious conclusion is that they don’t have it.
I think the lack of impacts in eastern Iran aren’t because they can’t fly the air force there due to lack of air superiority, I think the lack of impacts there are caused by lack of range on the munitions they’re successfully hitting western Iran with.
Mahmoud Khalil has been released.
“My intelligence community is wrong”
Trump dismisses the assessment of his own intelligence community regarding Iran’s nuclear capabilities, insisting that they are mistaken.
When confronted by a reporter who cites Tulsi Gabbard, his Director of National Intelligence, Trump simply states, “She’s wrong.”
@PressTV
Iran has Juche Necromancy technology
Admiral Ali Shamkhani confirms survival after Israeli strike - Pakistan Minute Mirror
Earlier reports had falsely announced his death, but Press TV and several Iranian outlets have confirmed his current stable condition
PressTV -
“I am alive and ready for sacrifice”
Message from Admiral Shamkhani to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution and the people of Iran: I am alive and ready for sacrifice
Admiral Ali Shamkhani, the political advisor to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, who was severely injured during a terrorist attack by the Israeli regime on his home in the early hours of June 13, has stabilized medically.
In a message addressed to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution and the people of Iran, he emphasized: The bright day of victory is near. The name of Iran will shine throughout history as it always has, and the smiles.
Ballistic missile attack on Israel from Iran ongoing (23:39 UTC) according to alert systems.
10+ ballistic missiles incoming
Attack over, 00:00 UTC, 1 potential impact plus shrapnel/debris.
IMPORTANT TO NOTE- I’ve heard of streams being faked as subterfuge, this could be old footage from last week or such, keep that in mind
Sirens have started to go off again in israel as of moments ago, had this stream open in the background and somethings popin
Edit 1 like 45 seconds later: I’m seeing rockets visible from the gaza view and hearing impacts I think, or interceptions
either way, sirens started going off less than a minute before I started hearing ordinance go off
edit 2 like 90 seconds later: now shrapnel and debris can be heard raining down near the streaming camera. Hard to tell where, it seems to be playing the audio of 6 different locations it is showing at once so I can’t tell which one they come from
edit 3 ~2 minutes later : quiet now, distant sirens blaring from alarms and emergency response, I assume, not air raid sirens like I heard at first
sirens mostly faded now, people can be heard talking near one of the stream cams, not in English though so I got nothin
oh, now the whole stream seems to have died? At the top of the stream is said “running stream off data stream will go offline soon” the whole time I had it up, so I guess that’s what happened
Zionist Colonizer who mocked dead Palestinian Babies crying in her latest video after
bombed her stolen house.Just looked at the history of Diego Garcia… why am I surprised?
A ton of American refueling airplanes have been landing in Azores
Still in awe of how shit UK military security is. Palestine Action broke into the RAF base that underpins Britain’s global air power projection, minced around on e-scooters, disabled multiple strategic assets, and left without being caught. This, while the UK is potentially days from joining a regional war in the Middle East and still deep in a proxy war with Russia. Given this, the Heathrow power incident, airport drones, etc,. there seems to be a very real window for adversaries to exploit and cause significant disruption inside the UK - largely unopposed.
Wish it was actually a terrorist group that blew up NATO airfields instead of peaceful protestors.
